Πόσες πιθανότητες υπάρχουν να έρθει η συντέλεια το 2017

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Οπως κάθε χρόνο έτσι και φέτος δεν θα μπορούσαν να λείψουν οι θεωρίες συνωμοσίας για το τέλος του κόσμου.

Νέα έκθεση κορυφαίων στατιστικολόγων προβλέπει ότι η πιθανότητα να καταστραφεί η ανθρωπότητα το 2017 είναι μία στις 500, όπως καταγράφει ο Ελεύθερος Τύπος.

Ο υπολογισμός του καθηγητή Φέργκους Σίμσον ενός μαθηματικού στο Ινστιτούτο Κοσμολογίας του Πανεπιστημίου της Βαρκελώνης, βασίζεται στη θεωρία του Doomsday που υποστηρίζει ότι μπορεί να προβλέψει τον μελλοντικό αριθμό των ανθρώπων που θα ζουν στο μέλλον δεδομένης της εκτίμησης του συνολικού αριθμού των ανθρώπων που έχουν γεννηθεί μέχρι σήμερα.

Κατά τους υπολογισμούς του υπάρχει μια πιθανότητα της τάξης του 13% να μην δει το τέλος του 21ου αιώνα.

Μάλιστα στις δηλώσεις του τόνισε: «Ανεξάρτητα από τα στατιστικά συμπεράσματα, θα ήταν αφελές να πιστεύουμε ότι ο ετήσιος αυτός κίνδυνος παγκόσμιας καταστροφής είναι πολύ μικρός». Ο Σίμσον πρόσθεσε επίσης πως, «σε μια εποχή όπου τουλάχιστον οκτώ κυρίαρχα κράτη έχουν στην κατοχή τους πυρηνικά όπλα, μια τέτοια προσέγγιση φαίνεται τόσο επικίνδυνη και ανεύθυνη».

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